Box Office Weekend Update: ‘Weapons’ Stays Lethal Going Into Weekend 3; ‘Nobody 2’ Opens Soft And a Freaky Underperformer As August Slows

Late-summer fatigue is real: the overall weekend is pacing under $100M for all films, settling near $94M. The bright spot is New Line’s Weapons, which continues to punch above the August lull with a sturdy second frame, while Nobody 2 arrives below hopes despite strong audience marks. Freakier Friday continues to be theatrically, an underperformer. With an estimated budget of almost $50 million dollars (not including marketing costs, appearances, and other costs that have yet to be announced/made public), and movie theaters take a cut of ticket sales, often around 50% in the US—many pro-Disney media outlets have called Freakier Friday a "WIN" and a "MAJOR SUCCESS" but it has gotten put to sleep, the hype is over. The numbers speak for themself.

Break-Even 101: A common rule of thumb says a movie needs about 2.5× its production budget at the box office to cover marketing, distribution, and the exhibitor split. With Freakier Friday reportedly costing $42–45M (sources say closer to $50 million+), that puts its theatrical break-even in the ~$105M range (per the Daily Mail)—an estimate, not a hard line. 

‘Weapons’ Holds, Horror Wins the Weekend (Again)

• 2nd weekend: roughly $22–25M (around –43% to –49%), after a $7.4M Friday
• Theaters: ~3,450 (adding PLF/IMAX juice)
• 10-day total: tracking to ~$86–89M
• Global to date: about $120.4M
  For an original horror title, a sub–50% drop is notable—Weapons is out-holding several 2025 genre tentpoles and benefiting from premium formats in a quiet corridor of the calendar.

‘Freakier Friday’ Slides But Stays In The Mix

• Weekend 2: about $14M (≈ –48% to –51%)
• Theaters: ~3,975
• 10-day total: ~$54–55M
  The Disney comedy follow-up is a steady second-week presence, trailing the 2003 film’s pace at this stage but still drawing some family traffic.

‘Nobody 2’ Opens Light Despite Good Scores

• Opening weekend: approx $9.2–9.4M after $3.8M Friday (incl. $1.3M previews)
• Theaters: ~3,260
• Audiences: B+ CinemaScore, strong PostTrak recommends, RT 82% critics / 92% audience
• Skew: ~68% male, 39% over 45; PLFs contributing ~29% of business
  Social buzz is loud (near-190M social reach) but didn’t translate to a breakout; the sequel’s theatrical footprint grew only modestly from the first film’s pandemic-era launch.

Other Notables

• Fantastic Four: First Steps (wk 4): $8–8.7M weekend; ~$246M cume
• Bad Guys 2 (wk 3): ~$6.9M weekend; ~$56–55M cume
• Superman (wk 6): ~$5.1M weekend; ~$341M cume
• The Naked Gun (wk 3): ~$4.7M weekend; ~$41.8M cume
• Coolie (wk 1): ~$2.8M debut on ~800 sites; strong metros (NYC, LA, Dallas, SF, Houston, Portland, Sacramento)
• Jurassic World Rebirth (wk 7): ~$2.7M weekend; ~$332M cume
• F1 (wk 8): ~$2.5M weekend; ~$183M cume

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This is smart calendar placement doing heavy lifting for Weapons: late-August lanes, PLF/IMAX support, and positive word of mouth are yielding a healthier-than-usual horror hold. Nobody 2 shows how tricky the sequel economy can be—great sentiment, but a limited audience expansion versus the 2021 original. Meanwhile, the market’s sub-$100M total underscores the August ebb: the right title can still overperform, but the bench is thin until the next wave of event releases. If Weapons keeps its drops in the 40s, it can stretch into early September as the de facto genre pick while studios reload.

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