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Trump’s Monster Bill Nears Signature — and Both Parties Are Ready for War

By: Randy Marston | July 4, 2025 / 11:30 AM
Trump’s Monster Bill Nears Signature — and Both Parties Are Ready for War

President Donald Trump is set to sign a sweeping $3.4 trillion domestic policy bill into law Friday evening, delivering on a series of campaign trail promises and setting the stage for what both parties are calling a defining battle in the 2026 midterm elections.

Trump, speaking Thursday at a pre–Independence Day rally at the Iowa State Fairgrounds, praised the bill as a historic win and took direct aim at Democrats for unanimously opposing the measure.

“Not one Democrat voted for us, and I think we use it in the campaign that’s coming up — the midterms — because we’ve got to beat them,” Trump told supporters.

The legislation, dubbed informally by the GOP as the “Big Beautiful Bill,” is a sweeping package that touches nearly every corner of domestic policy. It includes major tax cuts, border security funding, a restructuring of Medicaid, and strict new work requirements for welfare programs — all key planks of Trump’s 2024 platform.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, the bill’s permanent extension of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts and elimination of taxes on tips and overtime will reduce federal revenue by $4.4 trillion over the next decade. While Republicans tout the move as necessary tax relief, critics warn the package will increase the national debt by more than $4 trillion.

Partisan Clash Escalates Ahead of Midterms

With the legislative battle over, both parties are preparing for a high-stakes campaign messaging war.

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) released a memo minutes after the bill passed the House, stating:

“Every Democrat voted to hurt working families and to protect the status quo. House Republicans will be relentless in making this vote the defining issue of 2026.”

NRCC Chair Rep. Richard Hudson (R-NC) echoed the sentiment in an op-ed Friday morning, accusing House Democrats of rejecting “common sense” and vowing to hold them accountable in next year’s elections.

Democrats, meanwhile, are seizing on the bill’s proposed cuts to social safety net programs. The legislation includes deep cuts to Medicaid and food assistance, prompting outrage from progressive lawmakers.

“Extreme House Republicans just approved the largest cut to Medicaid and food assistance in American history to fund tax breaks for their billionaire donors,” said House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries.

DCCC Chair Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-WA) called the bill "the most unpopular piece of legislation in modern American history" and pledged to make its passage a rallying cry for reclaiming the House.

Public Opinion Tilts Heavily Against the Bill

While Republicans argue the bill delivers for working families, recent public polling suggests a significant political risk.

A Fox News national poll, conducted June 13–16, found that 59% of voters oppose the legislation, compared to just 38% who support it — a 21-point net negative. Additionally, nearly half of respondents (49%) said the bill would personally hurt their families, while only 23% expected it to help.

The poll also revealed stark partisan divisions:

  • 73% of Republicans supported the bill
  • 89% of Democrats and 73% of independents opposed it

Although 60% of voters said they understood the contents of the bill, even among those familiar with it, more believed it would hurt rather than help their household (45% vs. 34%).

Other national surveys paint a similarly bleak picture for the bill’s popularity:

  • Washington Post poll: -19 net approval
  • Pew Research: -20
  • Quinnipiac University: -26

What’s in the Bill?

Key provisions of the bill include:

  • Permanent extension of 2017 Trump tax cuts
  • Elimination of taxes on tips, overtime pay, and Social Security benefits
  • Billions allocated for border security and defense
  • A significant restructuring of Medicaid, including new work requirements
  • Cuts to SNAP and other safety net programs
  • Debt ceiling adjustments projected to increase the national debt by $4 trillion

Despite fierce opposition, Republicans are betting that the tax relief and budget reforms will resonate with their base and working-class voters.

“I think it’s very popular,” Trump told reporters early Friday upon returning to Washington. “It does many things, but one of them is the biggest tax cuts in our country’s history. And that alone makes it very popular.”

Campaign Ads Incoming

Democratic strategists say the party plans to unleash a blitz of digital and television ads as early as this weekend. Meanwhile, GOP groups such as One Nation, a conservative policy organization, argue their internal polling shows voters support provisions like eliminating taxes on Social Security, tips, and overtime.

Still, mainstream polling data — including Fox News’ own survey — suggests Republicans face a challenging task in selling the bill beyond their core supporters.

With all 435 House seats up for grabs in 2026 and Republicans holding a narrow 220-215 majority, the battle over this bill could shape the balance of power in Washington for years to come.